The Foreign Service Journal, April 2007

T HE M AGAZINE F OR F OREIGN A FFAIRS P ROFESSIONALS Foreign Service Journal (ISSN 0146-3543), 2101 E Street, N.W., Washington, D.C. 20037-2990 is published monthly with a combined July/August issue by the American Foreign Service Association, a private, non-profit organization. Material appearing herein represents the opinions of the writers and does not necessarily represent the views of the Journal, the Editorial Board or AFSA. Writer queries and submissions are invited, preferably by e-mail. Journal subscription: AFSAMembers - $13 included in annual dues; others - $40. For foreign surface mail, add $18 per year; foreign airmail, $36 per year. Periodical postage paid at Washington, D.C., and at additional mail- ing offices. Postmaster: Send address changes to Foreign Service Journal , 2101 E Street N.W., Washington, D.C. 20037-2990. Indexed by Public Affairs Information Service (PAIS). The Journal is not responsible for unsolicited manuscripts, photos or illustrations. Advertising inquiries are invited. The appearance of advertisements herein does not imply the endorsement of the services or goods offered. FAX: (202) 338-8244 or (202) 338-6820. E-MAIL: journal@afsa.org . WEB: www.afsa.org . TELEPHONE: (202) 338-4045. © American Foreign Service Association, 2007. Printed in the U.S.A. Send address changes to AFSA Membership, 2101 E Street N.W., Washington, D.C. 20037-2990. Printed on 50-percent recycled paper, of which 10 percent is post-consumer waste. J O U R N A L OREIGN ERVICE S F Editor S TEVEN A LAN H ONLEY Senior Editor S USAN B. M AITRA Associate Editor S HAWN D ORMAN Ad & Circulation Manager E D M ILTENBERGER Business Manager A NDREW K IDD Art Director C ARYN S UKO S MITH Editorial Intern E. M ARGARET M AC F ARLAND Editorial Board T ED W ILKINSON , C HAIRMAN K ENT C. B ROKENSHIRE S TEPHEN W. B UCK A NTHONY S. C HAN J OSH G LAZEROFF W ILLIAM W. J ORDAN L AURIE K ASSMAN K AY W EBB M AYFIELD J OHN K. N ALAND J OYCE N AMDE C HRISTOPHER L. T EAL F O C U S O N R U S S I A 19 / U NDERSTANDING V LADIMIR P UTIN While he shares the Kremlin’s traditional preference for centralizing power, Putin’s approach differs from that of his predecessors. By Dale Herspring 25 / P REPARING FOR THE P OST -P UTIN E RA Where is Russia headed? Here is a look at the fundamental challenges before the country and the Russian elite’s capacity to cope with them. By Lilia Shevtsova 32 / A N I MPOSSIBLE T RINITY ?: R ESOURCES , S PACE AND P EOPLE Russia’s future depends on how it manages its resources, its space, and its people. By Clifford G. Gaddy 39 / R USSIA C ONFRONTS R ADICAL I SLAM Coming to terms with its Muslim minority is likely to become a larger and more difficult problem for the Kremlin in the future. By Dmitry Gorenburg C ONTENTS A p r i l 2 0 0 7 Vo l ume 8 4 , No . 4 F E A T U R E S AVING G LOBALIZATION FROM I TSELF / 49 There are concrete ways to counter the fears of change and increasing inequality that are fueling the current backlash against trade liberalization. By Eric Trachtenberg Cover and inside illustrations by Ben Fishman; photos courtesy of istockphoto.com C O L U M N S P RESIDENT ’ S V IEWS / 5 On Speaking Truth to Power By J. Anthony Holmes S PEAKING O UT / 14 Time to Overhaul Contact Reporting Requirements By David J. Firestein R EFLECTIONS / 88 The Best and Worst Golf Courses By Bob Gribbin D E PA R T M E N T S L ETTERS / 6 C YBERNOTES / 10 M ARKETPLACE / 12 F AS T RAX / 13 AFSA N EWS / 59 B OOKS / 71 I N M EMORY / 74 I NDEX TO A DVERTISERS / 86 A P R I L 2 0 0 7 / F O R E I G N S E R V I C E J O U R N A L 3