THE FOREIGN SERVICE JOURNAL | SEPTEMBER 2024 33 conflict in four priority countries and the Coastal West Africa region. The SPCPS’s 10-year framework facilitates long-term planning, sustains partnerships, and emphasizes adaptation efforts, signaling a commitment to address evolving challenges. The SPCPS also prioritizes learning, data-driven analysis, diplomacy, and information-sharing to understand local dynamics and target interventions. In service to this, the United States became a founding donor of the United Nations Complex Risk Analytics Fund (CRAF’d), a new multidonor trust fund mechanism to find innovative data solutions to complex challenges through pooled investment. In April 2023, CRAF’d donor partners invested a collective $4 million in five new data projects that examine multidimensional climate fragility risks, focusing on environmental early action tracking, multihazard information aggregation, climate-induced displacement risk modeling, and geospatial climate assessment and early warning dashboards. The five projects are: • Environmental Early Action and Risk Tracking Hub (EEARTH). Piloted by the International Crisis Group in Somalia and South Sudan, EEARTH will identify climate security risks and pathways to conflict risks, combining quantitative and qualitative information to create a climate-security early warning system. • Violence and Impact Early Warning System–People in Need (VIEWS-PIN). This program from the Peace Research Institute Oslo fills a critical gap between forecasting natural disasters and conflicts and predicting their effects on nearby populations. The early warning system will estimate the effect of armed conflict and climate shocks on GDP per capita and access to water, health care, education, and food. Investing in this area enables us to make more informed, evidence-driven decisions.
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